Tuesday, March 23, 2010

A Risk Too Big?

Fluffy snow is falling. Well, it falls only to get whipped around by the wind before finding a landing spot. Poor snow.

As the physical world is transforming into albino-land, the very cultural and social landscape of our country is undergoing its own makeover. Extreme emotion and even hysteria have surrounded the whole health-care narrative, as well they should have. No change so monumental ought to transpire with a mere shrug of the shoulders or yawn of complacency. History has witnessed one chapter of this saga draw to a close today, and the ending has left the readers deeply divided.

What will be the outcome of Chapter One? One can hardly predict. Critics from both sides proclaim with adroit conviction that they are sure of this or that about how the future will unfold based on the passing of this gargantuan bill. Do any of them know with certainty that what they prophesy is inerrant? No. There's no way any of us can know exactly what's coming next. The scope and muddled nature of the bill don't allow for it.

"Is she not taking a side on this issue?" If that be your thought right now, let me assure you that I have. I am not a fan of the health-care reform bill (or whatever it's technical name is now). I could give you many reasons why, but that is not the point of this soliloquy.

Here, instead, is the moral of this post: The bigger the change, the more unpredictable the outcome. Perhaps this maxim doesn't hold true in all of life, but I submit that it does in general.

Consider the follwing scenario: If I decide to move to a new location within Colorado Springs, that would be a change and would require transition. Yet, I could decently predict what the transition would entail and could therefore prepare myself well for said change. If, on the other hand, I decide to move to Africa, change my name, and switch from being a teacher to being a nurse...all at once...it would be hard for me to predict what kind of impact so many transitions at once would have on my life.

In the same way, I believe that this health-care bill is so weighted by changes to the status quo, be they small or large, that it makes the bill reckless simply because the outcome of it all will be that much more unpredictable. Leave arguments of ideology aside. On simple logistical terms, the move seems highly risky.

Let it be known that I understand the health-care crisis. I don't believe there is an easy answer and reform of some kind is needed. Yet, I fear that going to the races and gambling away a huge chunk of money in the name of being better off is not the way to lead a responsible life.

May God guide the leaders of this great country. I pray that if this bill stands, the outcome will be far different than what I now foresee. While I pray and consider my role in this all, I will continue to thank God for His continued blessings in my life. Tonight, I will thank Him for the snow.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Watch out, DC!! Here she comes!

Palindroman said...

haha our thinking is so different, best illustrated by your thinking that something with such a big change to the status quo is dangerous because of how much it changes. I think that big changes are important and I think the status quo is dangerous.

You know I support health care, so no need to argue about the nuts and bolts. I, however, do understand there is a risk to the bill. However, I think its important to take this risk.

Thanks for presenting a logical argument and not delving into hysteria with this argument as many people do. :)

Unknown said...

Your logic makes perfect sense. I'd love to redo my pickup entirely with a new engine, suspension, wheels--it would go fast and tickle my fancy, but I'd no doubt be in some unnecessary debt. Then maybe I couldn't take care of other bills and obligations that I've already made. It would take away from any bequest I could leave for my family.
Therein, I think, lies the rub--big ideas need to have prudent economic foresight.